Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mary Grace Rennard vs Andrea Chacon
Team pages: Mary Grace Rennard · Andrea Chacon
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Grace Rennard
Andrea Chacon
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Grace Rennard
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Chacon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Grace Rennard 1482 · Andrea Chacon 1490
| Mary Grace Rennard | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mary Grace Rennard | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.7 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Gloriana Nahum UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Natalie Outcalt UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Andrea Chacon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Grace Rennard vs Andrea Chacon?
Our model gives 55% to Andrea Chacon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.