Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 31/07, 15:00
Prediction: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Elahi Galan
Team pages: Max Dahlin · Daniel Elahi Galan
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Dahlin
Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Max Dahlin
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Dahlin 1543 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1559
| Max Dahlin | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Max Dahlin | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.3 | 11.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 70% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Dahlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Evan Bynoe ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Alan Magadan ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Matthew Thomson ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/08 | Nikola Slavic ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | John Hallquist Lithen ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Lawrence Bataljin ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/07 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Dahlin vs Daniel Elahi Galan?
Our model gives 63% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.