Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 31/07, 13:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Federico Agustin Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Federico Agustin Gomez
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Federico Agustin Gomez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1609 · Federico Agustin Gomez 1550
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1609 vs 1550).
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-9.5 | 12-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels McDonald ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez?
Our model gives 57% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.