Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 31/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallin

Team pages: Jan Choinski · Olle Wallin

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Jan Choinski Olle Wallin
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Choinski 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Olle Wallin 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jan Choinski 1588 · Olle Wallin 1582
Jan ChoinskiOlle Wallin
Our model51%49%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jan ChoinskiOlle Wallin
Win %80%80%
Win % · Clay 88% (8) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.71.7-0.7
Games (G-P)13.6-10.312.7-9.1
Aces7.45.9
Double faults1.42.4
1st serve %74.8%74.8%
Break %34%43.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jan Choinski

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Alex Barrena
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/07 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
12/07 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
11/07 Daniel Rincon
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
10/07 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
07/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
02/07 Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 15-23 L
30/06 Vit Kopriva
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-10 W

Olle Wallin

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Roberto Carballes Baena
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 13-10 W
28/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
27/07 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/07 Vincent Dullinger
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
09/07 Valentin Royer
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
07/07 Samir Hamza Reguig
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/07 Maximilian Neuchrist
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
05/07 Matei Varbanciu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/07 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallin?

Our model gives 65% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.