Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
7-3 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1566 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1491
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1566 vs 1491).
- Facundo Diaz Acosta is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-11.7 | 11.4-13 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 10/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Marc Majdandzic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-28 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 68% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.