Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 30/07, 16:30
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Adrian Andreev
Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Adrian Andreev
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Adrian Andreev
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1493 · Adrian Andreev 1578
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1493 vs 1578).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-10.7 | 12.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nik Mikovic M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/02 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Clerc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/01 | Sean Cuenin M25 Marrakech |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/01 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 31/12 | Yassine Smiej M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/12 | Denis Klok ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Adrian Andreev?
Our model gives 73% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.