Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 29/07, 19:30

Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Team pages: Gabriele Crivellaro · Gabriele Pennaforti

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Gabriele Crivellaro Gabriele Pennaforti
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Gabriele Pennaforti 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1477 · Gabriele Pennaforti 1477
Gabriele CrivellaroGabriele Pennaforti
Our model50%50%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Gabriele Pennaforti makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Gabriele CrivellaroGabriele Pennaforti
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.21-1.2
Games (G-P)8.8-10.59.4-9.7
Aces3.23.1
Double faults3.54.6
1st serve %68.4%68.4%
Break %37.3%50.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Crivellaro

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
21/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate
1-2 14-18 L
13/07 Oleg Prihodko
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Michael Bassem Sobhy
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
06/07 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/03 Nik Mikovic
M15 Rovinj · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/02 Federico Arnaboldi
M25 Trento · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
16/02 Leonardo Primucci
M25 Trento · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
15/02 Andrea Zanini
M25 Trento · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Gabriele Pennaforti

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Giacomo Crisostomo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Gubbio
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 David Eichenseher
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Filiberto Fumagalli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
10/03 Sean Cuenin
Challenger Kigali · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/03 Alec Beckley
Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/03 Florent Bax
Challenger Kigali · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/11 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Montemar · Clay
1-2 13-13 L
14/11 Ziga Sesko
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/11 Michele Mecarelli
ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Gabriele Pennaforti?

Our model gives 64% to Gabriele Pennaforti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.