Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 30/07, 15:00
Prediction: Sandro Kopp vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Sandro Kopp · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandro Kopp
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Sandro Kopp
7-3 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sandro Kopp
1–0
Federico Arnaboldi
(1 last)
- 24 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandro Kopp 1560 · Federico Arnaboldi 1563
| Sandro Kopp | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sandro Kopp 1–0 Federico Arnaboldi (1).
Statistics
| Sandro Kopp | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.8 | 12.4-8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Sandro Kopp 1 – 0 Federico Arnaboldi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandro Kopp 1–0 Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/25 Challenger Rome | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandro Kopp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Gabriel Sardo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandro Kopp vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 55% to Sandro Kopp, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.