Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 29/07, 16:00

Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Pietro Romeo Scomparin

Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Pietro Romeo Scomparin

Prediction summary

Winner

71% 29%

Sebastian Sorger Pietro Romeo Scomparin

Estimated games

21.1

Recent form · 10 last

Sebastian Sorger 6-4 (W-L)

WWLLWLWWLW

Pietro Romeo Scomparin 3-7 (W-L)

LLLLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Sebastian Sorger 0–1 Pietro Romeo Scomparin (1 last)

11 Apr0-2 5-12L

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1554 · Pietro Romeo Scomparin 1485

	Sebastian Sorger	Pietro Romeo Scomparin
Our model	60%	40%
Market	79%	21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1554 vs 1485).
Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Head-to-head: Sebastian Sorger 0–1 Pietro Romeo Scomparin (1).

Statistics

	Sebastian Sorger	Pietro Romeo Scomparin
Win %	70%	40%
Win % · Clay	71% (7)	38% (8)
Sets (G-P)	1.4-0.7	0.8-1.3
Games (G-P)	11.8-10	9.4-10.2
Aces	1.5	1.5
Double faults	2.2	3.5
1st serve %	63%	61.5%
Break %	57.8%	31.7%

Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

H2H · Sebastian Sorger 0 – 1 Pietro Romeo Scomparin (1)

Odds Bet365

11.17

24.50

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
07:28 +5’	1.17	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebastian Sorger 0–1 Pietro Romeo Scomparin

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
11/04/22 ITF M15 Cairo	0-2	5-12	L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sebastian Sorger

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
28/07	Maximilian Figl M25 Bolzano · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
24/07	Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach	0-2	8-13	L
23/07	Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach	2-0	13-9	W
22/07	Alexander Gschiel M25 Ollersbach	2-0	14-12	W
03/07	Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay	0-2	6-12	L
02/07	Aaron Funk M25 Skopje · ~Clay	2-0	13-6	W
01/07	Roman Postolka M25 Skopje · ~Clay	2-1	18-16	W
26/06	Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay	0-2	9-13	L
25/06	Matic Dimic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay	2-0	12-4	W
24/06	Vito Tonejc M25 Zagreb · ~Clay	2-0	13-9	W

Pietro Romeo Scomparin

WLWLW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
28/07	Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay	2-0	12-2	W
22/07	Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate	0-2	8-13	L
20/07	Matteo Gribaldo M15 Segrate	2-1	13-9	W
27/06	Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay	0-2	5-12	L
25/06	Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay	2-0	12-6	W
23/06	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Bergamo · ~Clay	2-0	13-9	W
04/06	Luca Castagnola M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay	0-2	7-12	L
19/05	Samuele Pieri M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay	0-2	12-14	L
04/05	Petr Nesterov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay	0-2	10-13	L
28/04	Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay	0-2	2-12	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Pietro Romeo Scomparin?

Our model gives 71% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.