Tennis · M15 Xativa · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Carlos Lopez Montagud
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Lopez Montagud
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1496 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1498
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.7 | 10.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?
Our model gives 67% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.