Tennis · ATP Washington · 30/07, 17:00
Prediction: Alex De Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt
Team pages: Alex De Minaur · Cruz Hewitt
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex De Minaur
Cruz Hewitt
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex De Minaur
7-3 (W-L)
Cruz Hewitt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex De Minaur 1550 · Cruz Hewitt 1502
| Alex De Minaur | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex De Minaur (rating 1550 vs 1502).
Statistics
| Alex De Minaur | Cruz Hewitt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-10.8 | 9.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 47% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +4.2
Over 19.5: 77% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 23% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex De Minaur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Cruz Hewitt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/05 | John Sperle M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/05 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Isaac Becroft M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex De Minaur vs Cruz Hewitt?
Our model gives 74% to Alex De Minaur, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.