Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Timofey Skatov · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofey Skatov
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
25.2
Recent form · 10 last
Timofey Skatov
5-5 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Timofey Skatov
1–0
Otto Virtanen
(1 last)
- 24 May2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofey Skatov 1515 · Otto Virtanen 1548
| Timofey Skatov | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Timofey Skatov 1–0 Otto Virtanen (1).
Statistics
| Timofey Skatov | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.9 | 15.9-14.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2
H2H · Timofey Skatov 1 – 0 Otto Virtanen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Timofey Skatov 1–0 Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/23 French Open | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofey Skatov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Joao Domingues ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Anirudh Chandrasekar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 24/06 | Luca Nardi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofey Skatov vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 61% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.