Tennis · M15 Xativa · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Carles Hernandez vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Team pages: Carles Hernandez · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Winner
Carles Hernandez
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carles Hernandez
4-6 (W-L)
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carles Hernandez 1547 · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1517
| Carles Hernandez | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carles Hernandez | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.9 | 8.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carles Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Adam Lynch M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael Ymer M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carles Hernandez vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento?
Our model gives 67% to Carles Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.