Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 30/07, 17:10
Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Vilius Gaubas
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas
3-7 (W-L)
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vilius Gaubas
0–1
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
(1 last)
- 04 Sept1-2 14-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1476 · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1526
| Vilius Gaubas | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genaro Alberto Olivieri (rating 1476 vs 1526).
- Head-to-head: Vilius Gaubas 0–1 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1).
Statistics
| Vilius Gaubas | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.3 | 9-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Vilius Gaubas 0 – 1 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilius Gaubas 0–1 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/25 Challenger Seville | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vilius Gaubas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Michael Mmoh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Carlos Taberner Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Jeri Lassila Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Noa Vukadin ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?
Our model gives 57% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.