Tennis · M15 Xativa · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Anas Mazdrashki
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Anas Mazdrashki
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Anas Mazdrashki
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Anas Mazdrashki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Lagutin
1–0
Anas Mazdrashki
(1 last)
- 22 Apr2-1 15-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1602 · Anas Mazdrashki 1490
| Pavel Lagutin | Anas Mazdrashki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1602 vs 1490).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pavel Lagutin 1–0 Anas Mazdrashki (1).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Anas Mazdrashki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-6.9 | 9.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 61.9% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Pavel Lagutin 1 – 0 Anas Mazdrashki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Lagutin 1–0 Anas Mazdrashki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/25 M15 Sanxenxo | 2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Anas Mazdrashki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Joan Torres Espinosa M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikita Belozertsev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Sebastian Gima M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Anas Mazdrashki?
Our model gives 71% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.