Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 29/07, 23:30
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Hayato Matsuoka
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Hayato Matsuoka
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Hayato Matsuoka
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
5-5 (W-L)
Hayato Matsuoka
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1519 · Hayato Matsuoka 1489
| Yosuke Watanuki | Hayato Matsuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yosuke Watanuki dominates on serve: 10.1 aces and 40.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Hayato Matsuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.9 | 8.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 10.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Federico Cina French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Florian Broska Challenger Thionville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Matisse Farzam Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Hayato Matsuoka?
Our model gives 61% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.