Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 30/07, 22:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Braden Shick
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Braden Shick
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Braden Shick
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Braden Shick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1572 · Braden Shick 1577
| Mark Lajal | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Braden Shick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-12.8 | 12.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Andy Andrade Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Braden Shick?
Our model gives 62% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.