Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 30/07, 23:30
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Jay Friend
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
6-4 (W-L)
Jay Friend
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1575 · Jay Friend 1548
| Benjamin Bonzi | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.8 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Mees Rottgering ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Keegan Rice M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Strong Kirchheimer M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Cole Thurgur M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Eloi Roux M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 59% to Benjamin Bonzi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.