Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 31/07, 02:00
Prediction: Hayato Matsuoka vs Jeffrey John Wolf
Team pages: Hayato Matsuoka · Jeffrey John Wolf
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayato Matsuoka
Jeffrey John Wolf
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hayato Matsuoka
5-5 (W-L)
Jeffrey John Wolf
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayato Matsuoka 1535 · Jeffrey John Wolf 1561
| Hayato Matsuoka | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 57.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Hayato Matsuoka | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.5 | 14-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 29.7% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Jeffrey John Wolf
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayato Matsuoka vs Jeffrey John Wolf?
Our model gives 65% to Jeffrey John Wolf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.