Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 29/07, 22:00
Prediction: Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Rice
Team pages: Harry Wendelken · Keegan Rice
Prediction summary
Winner
Harry Wendelken
Keegan Rice
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Harry Wendelken
5-5 (W-L)
Keegan Rice
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harry Wendelken 1451 · Keegan Rice 1546
| Harry Wendelken | Keegan Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keegan Rice (rating 1451 vs 1546).
- Keegan Rice is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Harry Wendelken | Keegan Rice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-13.8 | 12-10 |
| Aces | 9.2 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Adam Walton ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Keegan Rice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Liam Draxl M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Thomson M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dan Martin M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Rice?
Our model gives 52% to Keegan Rice, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.