Tennis · ATP Washington · 30/07, 17:00
Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Ugo Humbert · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
28.5Bet365 line 25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
7-3 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Humbert
0–1
Ben Shelton
(1 last)
- 20 Jan0-3 15-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1536 · Ben Shelton 1555
| Ugo Humbert | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Ugo Humbert dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 50.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert 0–1 Ben Shelton (1).
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.8 | 17.2-16.7 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 12.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.5 · Bet365 line 25.5 · +3
Over 25.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 25.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Ugo Humbert 0 – 1 Ben Shelton (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Humbert 0–1 Ben Shelton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 Australian Open | 0-3 | 15-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 28/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 19/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 13/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/05 | Raphael Collignon French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 58% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.