Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 29/07, 14:30
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Manuel Plunger
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Manuel Plunger
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Manuel Plunger
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Manuel Plunger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1579 · Manuel Plunger 1499
| Adrian Andreev | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1579 vs 1499).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Manuel Plunger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.3 | 9.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Clerc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/01 | Sean Cuenin M25 Marrakech |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/01 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 31/12 | Yassine Smiej M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/12 | Denis Klok ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/12 | Ali Missoum ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Manuel Plunger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexander Wagner M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Niklas Schell M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Matthew William Donald M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Peter Fajta M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 17/11 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ITF M25 Manzanillo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Manuel Plunger?
Our model gives 74% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.