Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 29/07, 13:00
Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Federico Arnaboldi
Team pages: Giovanni Oradini · Federico Arnaboldi
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Oradini
Federico Arnaboldi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Oradini
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Arnaboldi
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giovanni Oradini
0–5
Federico Arnaboldi
(5 last)
- 28 Jun0-2 5-13L
- 24 Apr0-2 4-12L
- 22 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 26 Sept0-2 6-12L
- 22 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1539 · Federico Arnaboldi 1583
| Giovanni Oradini | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Arnaboldi (rating 1539 vs 1583).
- Head-to-head: Giovanni Oradini 0–5 Federico Arnaboldi (5).
Statistics
| Giovanni Oradini | Federico Arnaboldi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.2 | 12.1-7.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Giovanni Oradini 0 – 5 Federico Arnaboldi (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giovanni Oradini 0–5 Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 M15 Bergamo | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 24/04/26 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/03/24 M15 Opatija | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Oradini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 02/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Federico Arnaboldi?
Our model gives 62% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.