Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 29/07, 19:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Evan Zhu
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
4-6 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1530 · Evan Zhu 1558
| Mark Lajal | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.6 | 13.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 17.5% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 68% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.