Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 29/07, 19:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
7-3 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1560 · Yi Zhou 1511
| Daniel Milavsky | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Milavsky (rating 1560 vs 1511).
- Yi Zhou dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.2 | 13.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Robin Catry Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano Travaglia Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Guy Den Ouden Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 56% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.