Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Max Dahlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Max Dahlin
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
4-6 (W-L)
Max Dahlin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1559 · Max Dahlin 1516
| Tom Gentzsch | Max Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1559 vs 1516).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.7% break avg.
- Note: Max Dahlin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Max Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.5 | 12.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Max Dahlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Raphael Perot ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Evan Bynoe ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Alan Magadan ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Matthew Thomson ITF M15 Ann Arbor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/08 | Nikola Slavic ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/08 | John Hallquist Lithen ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Lawrence Bataljin ITF M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Jonathan Mridha ITF M15 Ystad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Max Dahlin?
Our model gives 64% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.