Tennis · ATP Washington · 29/07, 20:30

Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak

Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Kamil Majchrzak

Prediction summary

Winner

63% 37%

Taylor Fritz Kamil Majchrzak

Estimated games

27.4Bet365 line 23.5

Recent form · 10 last

Taylor Fritz 5-5 (W-L)

WLLLWWLWLW

Kamil Majchrzak 7-3 (W-L)

LLWWWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Taylor Fritz 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak (1 last)

13 Mar2-0 12-2W

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1568 · Kamil Majchrzak 1547

	Taylor Fritz	Kamil Majchrzak
Our model	53%	47%
Market	72%	28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

Kamil Majchrzak dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 45.7% break avg.
Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak (1).

Statistics

	Taylor Fritz	Kamil Majchrzak
Win %	80%	70%
Win % · Grass	78% (9)	67% (9)
Sets (G-P)	2-0.8	1.8-0.9
Games (G-P)	16-13	15.7-13.3
Aces	16.5	6.8
Double faults	1.4	1.3
1st serve %	82.3%	75.3%
Break %	34.7%	45.7%

Estimated total games (ours) 27.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +3.9

Over 23.5: 76% · 2.00 Under 23.5: 24% · 1.72

H2H · Taylor Fritz 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak (1)

Odds Bet365

11.33

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)2.10

2 (+3.5)1.66

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.4%

Time*	1	2
11:32 +3’	1.33	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak

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Date	Sets	Games	Res.
13/03/22 ATP Indian Wells	2-0	12-2	W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taylor Fritz

WWWLW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
27/07	Zizou Bergs ATP Washington · Hard	2-0	12-7	W
08/07	Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass	0-3	10-18	L
06/07	Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass	3-0	19-14	W
04/07	Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass	3-1	23-19	W
02/07	Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass	3-0	19-9	W
30/06	Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass	3-0	18-10	W
21/06	Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass	0-2	8-12	L
20/06	Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass	2-1	19-16	W
19/06	Ben Shelton ATP Halle · Grass	2-1	20-19	W
18/06	Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass	2-0	12-6	W

Kamil Majchrzak

WLWLW

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Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
28/07	Tommy Paul ATP Washington · Hard	2-0	14-11	W
02/07	Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass	2-3	22-26	L
30/06	Alejandro Tabilo Wimbledon · Grass	3-0	20-13	W
16/06	Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass	0-2	11-14	L
14/06	Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass	2-1	15-15	W
13/06	Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass	2-0	13-7	W
12/06	Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass	2-0	12-7	W
11/06	James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass	2-0	12-3	W
10/06	Otto Virtanen ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass	2-1	19-17	W
07/06	Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass	1-2	19-20	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Our model gives 63% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.