Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 29/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
6-4 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1527 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1497
| Mili Poljicak | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.2 | 11.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Enrico Baldisserri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Elias Ymer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 54% to Nikoloz Basilashvili, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.