Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
Team pages: Esteban Talavera Cortes · Carlos Lopez Montagud
Prediction summary
Winner
Esteban Talavera Cortes
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Esteban Talavera Cortes
2-8 (W-L)
Carlos Lopez Montagud
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Esteban Talavera Cortes 1444 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1500
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Lopez Montagud (rating 1444 vs 1500).
- Carlos Lopez Montagud is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Esteban Talavera Cortes | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-11.9 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esteban Talavera Cortes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Amaan Siddiqui M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Darius Florin Pop UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Oscar Pinto Sansano M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esteban Talavera Cortes vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?
Our model gives 75% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.