Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinato
Team pages: Alexandre Muller · Marco Cecchinato
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Muller
Marco Cecchinato
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Muller
2-8 (W-L)
Marco Cecchinato
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Muller 1405 · Marco Cecchinato 1545
| Alexandre Muller | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1405 vs 1545).
- Marco Cecchinato is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexandre Muller | Marco Cecchinato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12.8 | 11.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 17.1% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
| 16/05 | Edas Butvilas ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Yibing Wu Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/04 | Otto Virtanen ATP Barcelona · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinato?
Our model gives 61% to Marco Cecchinato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.