Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Francesco Forti
Team pages: Facundo Diaz Acosta · Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
6-4 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1565 · Francesco Forti 1515
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1565 vs 1515).
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12.2 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 10/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Federico Coria Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 72% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.