Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Federico Agustin Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Federico Agustin Gomez
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
4-6 (W-L)
Federico Agustin Gomez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1492 · Federico Agustin Gomez 1522
| Samuele Pieri | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 11.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Noel Larwig Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Federico Agustin Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels McDonald ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez?
Our model gives 59% to Federico Agustin Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.