Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Henri Squire · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Henri Squire
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Henri Squire
5-5 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henri Squire 1558 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1620
| Henri Squire | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1558 vs 1620).
- Note: Henri Squire makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Henri Squire | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.4 | 13.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henri Squire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Clement Tabur Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henri Squire vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 59% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.