Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 30/07, 11:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baena
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Roberto Carballes Baena
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Roberto Carballes Baena
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
7-3 (W-L)
Roberto Carballes Baena
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1599 · Roberto Carballes Baena 1521
| Olle Wallin | Roberto Carballes Baena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1599 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Roberto Carballes Baena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.7 | 12.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Vincent Dullinger Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Roberto Carballes Baena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Ceban Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baena?
Our model gives 54% to Roberto Carballes Baena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.