Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Jamie Mackenzie
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Jamie Mackenzie
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Jamie Mackenzie
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
7-3 (W-L)
Jamie Mackenzie
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1529 · Jamie Mackenzie 1511
| Elmer Moller | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.6 | 12.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Thomas Faurel ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Luca Potenza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Tomas Farjat M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alex Bolt ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Vic |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Jack Loge M25 Vic |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/04 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/04 | Alessandro Mondazzi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Jamie Mackenzie?
Our model gives 60% to Elmer Moller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.