Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 29/07, 10:00

Prediction: Tristan Berard vs Adan Freire Da Silva

Team pages: Tristan Berard · Adan Freire Da Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Tristan Berard Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Berard 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Adan Freire Da Silva 2-8 (W-L)
LWLWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tristan Berard 1528 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1467
Tristan BerardAdan Freire Da Silva
Our model59%41%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Berard (rating 1528 vs 1467).
  • Tristan Berard is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Tristan BerardAdan Freire Da Silva
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.6-1.5
Games (G-P)9.9-8.28.1-10.4
Aces2.72
Double faults31.7
1st serve %69.8%59.3%
Break %46.6%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tristan Berard

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Gil Brahier
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 9-5 W
15/07 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Uriage
0-2 10-13 L
14/07 Andrea Brignacca
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 6-12 L
05/07 Zeno Godi
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Hugo Grenier
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 12-15 L
29/06 Alexander Watanabe Eriksson
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Vicente Quevedo Mederos
M25 Montauban · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/06 Baptiste Arzur
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Arthur Nagel
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Adan Freire Da Silva

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Vito Dell'Elba
M15 Segrate
0-2 6-12 L
14/07 Alessio Basile
M25 Uriage
0-2 6-13 L
01/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Lorenzo Balducci
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
24/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/06 Jordan Coudret
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
27/05 Daniel Jade
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/05 Mathys Picard
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
21/05 Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tristan Berard vs Adan Freire Da Silva?

Our model gives 54% to Tristan Berard, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.