Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Tristan Berard
Team pages: Arthur Nagel · Tristan Berard
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Tristan Berard
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
8-2 (W-L)
Tristan Berard
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Nagel
2–0
Tristan Berard
(2 last)
- 27 May2-0 12-2W
- 08 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1548 · Tristan Berard 1544
| Arthur Nagel | Tristan Berard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Nagel 2–0 Tristan Berard (2).
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Tristan Berard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.8 | 11.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Arthur Nagel 2 – 0 Tristan Berard (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Nagel 2–0 Tristan Berard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 M25 Carnac | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09/24 ITF M25 Plaisir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Liam Branger M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Mae Malige M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Tristan Berard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/05 | Leo Lagarrigue M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Sander Jong M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Tristan Berard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Adan Freire Da Silva M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Gil Brahier M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Arthur Bonnaud M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Zeno Godi M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Hugo Grenier M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Vicente Quevedo Mederos M25 Montauban · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Baptiste Arzur M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Tristan Berard?
Our model gives 63% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.