Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 30/07, 10:00

Prediction: Antoni Fabre vs Amaury Raynel

Team pages: Antoni Fabre · Amaury Raynel

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Antoni Fabre Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Antoni Fabre 4-6 (W-L)
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Amaury Raynel 2-8 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antoni Fabre 1479 · Amaury Raynel 1413
Antoni FabreAmaury Raynel
Our model59%41%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antoni Fabre (rating 1479 vs 1413).

Statistics

Antoni FabreAmaury Raynel
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.30.5-1.6
Games (G-P)8.2-9.48.4-11.6
Aces0.31.8
Double faults1.73
1st serve %61.4%61.1%
Break %41.3%46.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antoni Fabre

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Damien Salvestre
M15 Strasbourg
1-1 7-4 W
21/07 Edoardo Zanada
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
10/07 Dusan Obradovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/07 Michael Minasyan
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Cesar Stefan Bentzel
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
23/04 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Angers · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Amaury Raynel

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Dorian Tremblay
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-8 W
14/07 Maxence Rivet
M25 Uriage
0-2 7-13 L
01/07 Alexandr Binda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
16/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Ivan Iutkin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/05 Josip Simundza
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
26/05 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Peter Makk
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/04 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antoni Fabre vs Amaury Raynel?

Our model gives 53% to Antoni Fabre, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.