Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Amaury Raynel
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
7-3 (W-L)
Amaury Raynel
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1546 · Amaury Raynel 1435
| Theo Papamalamis | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1546 vs 1435).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Amaury Raynel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 9.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oskari Paldanius M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lars Aregger M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Amaury Raynel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Maxence Rivet M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alexandr Binda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Josip Simundza M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Peter Makk M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Amaury Raynel?
Our model gives 72% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.