Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 22:10
Prediction: Hayato Matsuoka vs James Trotter
Team pages: Hayato Matsuoka · James Trotter
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayato Matsuoka
James Trotter
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hayato Matsuoka
4-6 (W-L)
James Trotter
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayato Matsuoka 1480 · James Trotter 1525
| Hayato Matsuoka | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Trotter (rating 1480 vs 1525).
- James Trotter dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Hayato Matsuoka | James Trotter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.3 | 12.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayato Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Matisse Farzam Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
James Trotter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 12/07 | Jared Horwood Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ronit Karki Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayato Matsuoka vs James Trotter?
Our model gives 53% to James Trotter, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.