Tennis · ATP Washington · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo
Team pages: Terence Atmane · Alejandro Tabilo
Prediction summary
Winner
Terence Atmane
Alejandro Tabilo
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Tabilo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1432 · Alejandro Tabilo 1485
| Terence Atmane | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Tabilo (rating 1432 vs 1485).
Statistics
| Terence Atmane | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-2 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-16.7 | 13.1-14.9 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 18.5% | 25.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +2.3
Over 24.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Terence Atmane
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Thanasi Kokkinakis French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 18/05 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/05 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 23/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 30/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 26/05 | Kamil Majchrzak French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo?
Our model gives 51% to Terence Atmane, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.