Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 20:10
Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Tyler Zink · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyler Zink
Karl Poling
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink
5-5 (W-L)
Karl Poling
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1491 · Karl Poling 1515
| Tyler Zink | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tyler Zink dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 50.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Tyler Zink | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.5 | 13.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 62% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.