Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Carles Hernandez vs Adam Lynch
Team pages: Carles Hernandez · Adam Lynch
Prediction summary
Winner
Carles Hernandez
Adam Lynch
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carles Hernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Adam Lynch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carles Hernandez 1538 · Adam Lynch 1481
| Carles Hernandez | Adam Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carles Hernandez (rating 1538 vs 1481).
Statistics
| Carles Hernandez | Adam Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.5 | 8.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carles Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 05/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael Ymer M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Adam Lynch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kevin Edengren M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Alvaro De Miguel Montero M25 Denia |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bastien Prod'homme M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Pietro Marino M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carles Hernandez vs Adam Lynch?
Our model gives 62% to Carles Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.