Tennis · M15 Xativa · 29/07, 09:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Brian Bozemoj
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Brian Bozemoj
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Brian Bozemoj
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Brian Bozemoj
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1639 · Brian Bozemoj 1508
| Pavel Lagutin | Brian Bozemoj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1639 vs 1508).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Brian Bozemoj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 62.8% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Brian Bozemoj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Louis Wessels M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Iiro Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 17/03 | Yurii Dzhavakian M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/03 | Sidharth Rawat M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Jan Kumstat M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Brian Bozemoj?
Our model gives 73% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.