Tennis · Challenger Vancouver · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Quinn Vandecasteele
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Quinn Vandecasteele
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Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Quinn Vandecasteele
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
6-4 (W-L)
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Milavsky
1–1
Quinn Vandecasteele
(2 last)
- 08 Jul2-1 13-12W
- 13 Jan0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1504 · Quinn Vandecasteele 1481
| Daniel Milavsky | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Daniel Milavsky is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.3 | 10.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 66% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Daniel Milavsky 1 – 1 Quinn Vandecasteele (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Milavsky 1–1 Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Challenger Newport | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/01/26 M25 Winston-Salem | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Quinn Vandecasteele?
Our model gives 56% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.