Tennis · M25 Bolzano · 28/07, 16:30
Prediction: Sandro Kopp vs Leonardo Borrelli
Team pages: Sandro Kopp · Leonardo Borrelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Sandro Kopp
Leonardo Borrelli
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sandro Kopp
7-3 (W-L)
Leonardo Borrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandro Kopp 1555 · Leonardo Borrelli 1476
| Sandro Kopp | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandro Kopp (rating 1555 vs 1476).
- Sandro Kopp is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Sandro Kopp | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.5 | 9.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandro Kopp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Leonardo Borrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kolbe M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandro Kopp vs Leonardo Borrelli?
Our model gives 78% to Sandro Kopp, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.