Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 28/07, 16:00
Prediction: Maxence Rivet vs Maxime Chazal
Team pages: Maxence Rivet · Maxime Chazal
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxence Rivet
Maxime Chazal
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Rivet
5-5 (W-L)
Maxime Chazal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxence Rivet 1546 · Maxime Chazal 1472
| Maxence Rivet | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxence Rivet (rating 1546 vs 1472).
- Maxence Rivet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maxence Rivet makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maxence Rivet | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.8 | 11.5-11 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Mae Malige M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Salvestre M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Federico Gargano M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxence Rivet vs Maxime Chazal?
Our model gives 61% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.