Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 28/07, 09:30

Prediction: Dorian Tremblay vs Amaury Raynel

Team pages: Dorian Tremblay · Amaury Raynel

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Dorian Tremblay Amaury Raynel
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Dorian Tremblay 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWWLLLW
Amaury Raynel 1-9 (W-L)
LLLWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dorian Tremblay 1452 · Amaury Raynel 1398
Dorian TremblayAmaury Raynel
Our model58%42%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dorian Tremblay (rating 1452 vs 1398).

Statistics

Dorian TremblayAmaury Raynel
Win %30%10%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.50.3-1.8
Games (G-P)7.5-10.68.2-12.1
Aces3.21.8
Double faults2.73.1
1st serve %58.8%59.8%
Break %37.1%48.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dorian Tremblay

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Noah Boutleux
M15 Strasbourg
2-1 9-10 W
19/07 Max Benaim
M15 Rognac
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Ivan Biletic
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
25/06 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Nazar Oliynykov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Luka Vuglar
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
25/05 Lasse Poertner
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
06/04 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/03 Linang Xiao
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Amaury Raynel

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Maxence Rivet
M25 Uriage
0-2 7-13 L
01/07 Alexandr Binda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
16/06 Sydney Zick
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/06 Ivan Iutkin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/05 Josip Simundza
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
26/05 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Peter Makk
M15 Doboj · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
29/04 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/01 Moise Kouame
M15 Bressuire · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dorian Tremblay vs Amaury Raynel?

Our model gives 64% to Amaury Raynel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.