Tennis · M15 Strasbourg · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Timeo Trufelli
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Timeo Trufelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Timeo Trufelli
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
7-3 (W-L)
Timeo Trufelli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1554 · Timeo Trufelli 1491
| Theo Papamalamis | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1554 vs 1491).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Timeo Trufelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10 | 9.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Oskari Paldanius M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Lars Aregger M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Justas Trainauskas M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Lenders M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Benjamin Martin M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Paul Theate M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Timeo Trufelli?
Our model gives 72% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.