Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 29/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pavel Kotov vs Daniel Elahi Galan
Team pages: Daniel Elahi Galan
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Kotov
Daniel Elahi Galan
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Kotov
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Elahi Galan
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Kotov
1–0
Daniel Elahi Galan
(1 last)
- 21 Sept2-0 14-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Kotov 1502 · Daniel Elahi Galan 1536
| Pavel Kotov | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pavel Kotov 1–0 Daniel Elahi Galan (1).
Statistics
| Pavel Kotov | Daniel Elahi Galan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13 | 10.9-11 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Pavel Kotov 1 – 0 Daniel Elahi Galan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Kotov 1–0 Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/23 ATP Chengdu | 2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Kotov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Mikhail Kukushkin Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 12/04 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/04 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/04 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/04 | August Holmgren Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Kotov vs Daniel Elahi Galan?
Our model gives 59% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.